2024 Presidential Election
Countdown
Days
Hrs
Min
Sec
Last Updated: September 16, 2024
Donald Trump
Kamala Harris
Latest Polls by State
Polling data for the 2024 presidential election from Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin
| State | Harris % | Trump % | Margin | Weekly Change | Monthly Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National | 48.6% | 46.4% | D+ 2.2 | R+ 0.2 | R+ 0.2 |
| Pennsylvania | 47.8% | 47.6% | D+ 0.2 | R+ 0.1 | R+ 1.6 |
| North Carolina | 47.6% | 47.9% | R+ 0.3 | D+ 0.9 | D+ 0.6 |
| Michigan | 48.1% | 46.9% | D+ 1.2 | R+ 0.3 | R+ 1.7 |
| Georgia | 47.5% | 48.2% | R+ 0.7 | R+ 0.8 | D+ 0.1 |
| Wisconsin | 49.3% | 47.3% | D+ 2 | R+ 0.2 | R+ 1.1 |
| Arizona | 46.9% | 48.4% | R+ 1.5 | D+ 0.5 | R+ 2.7 |
| Nevada | 48.0% | 47.9% | D+ 0.1 | R+ 0.4 | R+ 0.6 |
| Florida | 45.6% | 50.1% | R+ 4.5 | D+ 0.2 | D+ 0.7 |
| Texas | 44.9% | 51.2% | R+ 6.3 | R+ 1.8 | R+ 0.4 |
| Minnesota | 49.9% | 44.2% | D+ 5.7 | R+ 1.4 | R+ 1.9 |
| New Hampshire | 51.1% | 44.5% | D+ 6.6 | D+ 0.3 | D+ 0.1 |
| New Mexico | 49.6% | 41.7% | D+ 7.9 | D+ 0.4 | D+ 0.2 |
| NE-2 | 48.7% | 43.8% | D+ 4.9 | R+ 0.1 | NA |
| Virginia | 49.8% | 42.2% | D+ 7.6 | D+ 2.8 | D+ 3 |
| Montana | 39.5% | 57.0% | R+ 17.5 | R+ 0.1 | R+ 2.3 |
| Washington | 52.5% | 38.3% | D+ 14.2 | R+ 0.2 | Even |
| Ohio | 43.6% | 52.5% | R+ 8.9 | R+ 0.2 | R+ 0.7 |
| Maryland | 60.3% | 34.2% | D+ 26.1 | D+ 0.5 | NA |
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2024 Presidential Election
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Credits: Data for polls: Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin: https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model and 538 polls : https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/ , Finance Data sourced from Federal Election Commission - https://www.fec.gov/ Election Maps have been generated from the data of the Voting and Election Science Team - Harvard Dataverse - https://dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtml?persistentId=doi:10.7910/DVN/K7760H, Images used are in the public domain. Prediction models are based on the latest available data and are subject to change. Polymarket Election Forecast - https://polymarket.com/elections , Metaculus Election Hub - https://www.metaculus.com/experiments/elections/